When my husband and I tied the proverbial knot 16 years ago, people asked me if being married felt different. It did. Our vow to stick together in good times and bad, for better or for worse, profoundly changed our relationship. There were no longer “my” problems or “his” successes, there were only “our problems and successes.”
Being a member of a co-op has a bit of a similar vibe—the financial health and viability of the cooperative is truly a shared endeavor.
When times are good, we share in our positive margins by returning capital credits to you. Since 2009, Cherryland has returned $31.5 million in capital credits to our members in the form of a bill credit or a check every December. This year, for the first time in 14 years, we will not be retiring capital credits. That was not an easy decision nor one we made lightly. For more about what goes into this decision, check out the message from our CFO, Mark Wilson.
We find ourselves in the midst of significant financial challenges and just like when times are good, we must tackle those challenges together.
We are projecting to end 2023 with negative operating margins. This is largely due to mild weather. When it’s really cold or really hot, we sell a lot of electricity. When it’s mild, we don’t. This year, our sales are about 5.5% lower than last year. This is despite the approximately 3% rate increase we implemented in April.
We are also facing significant cost pressures. In the last few years, the cost of supplies we use regularly has increased precipitously. Overhead conductor costs 88% more today than it did a few years ago, underground cable costs 49% more, and the cost of transformers is up 32%.
The cost of our inventory and system investments has increased with interest rates. In a capital-intensive industry like ours, small changes in interest rates can mean big increases in our cost to do business.
If we were a profit-driven business only concerned with making returns to our investors, we would likely respond to these challenges by decreasing our investment in our system. But, we are a member-driven organization and those temporary decisions would mean less reliable electric service for you in the long run.
Instead, we are going to manage this year’s challenges by pausing our capital credit returns and tightening our belts for 2024 while we put together a long-term strategy for future years.
In 2024, your team will be tackling three things to help us navigate the co-op through this time of incredible cost pressure. First, we will develop a three- to five-year financial forecast that will account for all of the major system upgrade projects we have coming up. Second, our board will be revising our equity management plan to account for the change in our cost of delivering reliable service. And, finally, our team will take a hard look at where we can mitigate costs long-term without sacrificing the service we provide you. All this work will inform our plans for electric rates over the coming years.
There is so much more to come on the aforementioned initiatives; for now, I want to ensure you that your cooperative remains fully committed to delivering you best-in-class reliability and affordable electric rates. There are significant headwinds working against us, but we will tackle these challenges like we always do— together, with a focus on doing what’s best for our members.
If my 16 years of marriage have taught me anything, it’s that bad times don’t last. Sometimes all you can do is hunker down and weather the, well, bad weather. While we won’t be returning capital credits this year, we will look forward to sharing future returns with you in future years.
So we use less and pay more because revenue was down and costs fixed or rising …..did the pandemic produce more revenue since we spent more time at home and now that surge is over ?
During the pandemic, we first saw a decrease in sales as our major commercial accounts shut down and then an increase in sales with more residential usage as everyone was working, schooling, and generally spending more time at home. Cherryland members may remember we did our own little stimulus package that year in the form of a one-time Cooperative Advantage bill credit in October 0f 2020. We shared almost $2.5 million in margins that year IN ADDITION to a capital credit retirement in December. As I point out in the column, when times are good we share in the margins and when times are tough, we share that burden as well. It’s how cooperatives work.
All of those pandemic-related revenue changes stabilized after 2020. The average residential usage on our system is about the same today as it was pre-pandemic. In 2023, our sales were down primarily due to weather. As I mention in the column, we sell more electricity when it is very hot or very cold. Weather changes, so this is not a reason to raise rates. It is simply the reason we are not retiring capital credits this year.
As it pertains to rates going forward, we do not currently have any plans to increase rates at the beginning of 2024. I do anticipate they will go up as we move through 2024 into 2025 and that they will continue to rise in subsequent years. Inflation and today’s interest rates have greatly driven up our costs. So, it’s not about using less and paying more. It’s about using the same and having significantly increased costs. That is the long-term trend that we will tackle through rates in the coming years.
Nobody likes paying more (me included). But I wanted to say your letter definitely helped me to understand the situation you face. I appreciate your sincerity and desire to be transparent. So with that perspective I say “thank you”. Great job communicating to us!
Thanks, Rick! Glad the column helped explain the decision.
Energy costs more and supplies of coal, natural gas, and oil (I know CEC doesn’t use oil), are finite and therefore going to cost a lot more before we run out entirely. Labor costs are up, material costs are up. None of that can be controlled by CEC. But, we can all pay less for electricity by conserving. I know it’s old fashioned to deny ourselves being comfortable all of the time and leaving lights on all night long, but give it a try.
George – you’ve hit the nail on the head. There are a lot of things driving up costs across our entire economy. And, as you point out, the cheapest kilowatt hour will always be the one you don’t use. Generally, members see a good return when they invest in making their homes more efficient or making small behavioral changes to decrease their energy usage.
This was a smart move on the part of Cherryland. We are heading ‘hell bent for leather’ towards a financial collapse for many reasons; but mainly, because we have lived as a country and are a citezenry liveing well beyond our means and printing money like crazy to finance that absurdity. The steps Cherryland is taking to preserve cash, cash flow and to keep services at the highest possible degree of excellence, is very, very prudent.
Just like an individual, no corporation, or individual entity, can borrow money forever without paying it back. It leads to their financial collapse….and bankruptcy. Over printing of an unbacked currency, like the US Dollar, causes inflation (US Government deficit spending). The cost of goods and services increasing at a higher and higher rate is the biproduct of that madness. No one can live on increasing credit/borrowings forever without paying it back…or facing the consequences.
Congratulations, Cherryland, for taking a very prudent action during this financial crisis that has been brewing since 1971 when the country went off the Gold Standard. We haven’t faced a financial crisis like this since the unbacked Green Back dollar failure after the Revolutionary War. We also had a lesser issue with the value of the dollar after the Civil War. However, it wasn’t as significant because we were a rapidly growing country, economically and had the gold to support the dollar. Today we do not have either.
As to rate increases and the forecasting of future rate increases. That is a very tough thing to do. I am sure that ‘if’ Cherryland has to increase rates to remain a viable business, they will; or at least I hope they will… I cannot think of a utility more important than an electric or gas utility for the welfare of the citizens.
Thanks, Lon. Yes, we certainly all need to tighten our belts here and also recognize that we likely aren’t going back to the super low interest rates and inflation that we’ve enjoyed the last decade. As you point out, we have to adjust our approach to help manage the financial health of the cooperative in today’s environment. I’ll keep you posted as we start looking at rate plans into the future. It is not something we will do hastily.
Everything I wrote is true and a credit to Cherryland’s actions. If you choose not to print it. I don’t care. You have it, it’s true and accurate….and do with it what you will….but, I will not modify it one little bit.
If you find anything inaccurate, I would love to debate it with you. I have a BS in Accounting, an MBA, with an emphasis in Finance, am a CPA, a US history buff, and was a CFO for several private and public companies. So I don’t appreciate you unfounded comment that I, basically, don’t know what I am talking about.
Hi Lon – Not sure exactly what comment this is replying to but just wanted to make sure you know that your feedback and comments are always welcome here. I apologize if anyone has made you feel otherwise.
Your decision really left you no alternative but to share with us. My concern is that your report made no mention of an aggressive Climate change philosophy. No doubt all costs are higher I am sure, just like when we all go to the gas pump, the grocery store or out for a hamburger. Critically though, how much of those increased costs are tied to your philosophy of switching away from fossil fuels and the complete transition to renewable energy?
Hi Kirk,
Cherryland doesn’t have an aggressive climate change philosophy. Our power supply strategy is focused first on reliability and affordability, while also mitigating environmental impact. That said, public policy is rapidly driving an energy transformation and we will ultimately have to comply with those political and regulatory changes. We are on the record many times opposing environmental policy that threatens electric reliability or affordability. Right now the Michigan legislature is about to pass a 100% Clean Energy mandate that I have publicly criticized for it’s impact on the cost and reliability of energy. The cost of energy in Michigan and the U.S. will likely rise in the coming years. But, right now, as it pertains to the column I wrote and our decision not to retire capital credits, the costs we are managing really are primarily tied to supply chain challenges, inflation, and milder weather than normal which decreased our revenue this year.
Cherryland and its power supplier have worked very hard to build a balanced power supply portfolio that includes renewable energy, carbon-free nuclear energy and fossil fuel-based sources that are well-suited to times when the wind doesn’t blow and the sun doesn’t shine. We have secured incredible strategic power supply contracts that I believe will help stabilize our costs in the years to come. But, in the end, as you point out, the pace at which we are transitioning away from fossil fuels as a country will have costs. The best I can do for you and our members is build a power supply portfolio that helps protect us as much as possible from those costs and price volatility and I think we have done that.
As someone who is new to the area. What does “retire capital credits” mean?
Hi Ben,
Great question! Here is a link to an article from our CFO explaining capital credits and how they work: https://cherrylandelectric.coop/2023/10/a-closer-look-at-capital-credits/
I hope this helps!